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China

A new study conducted by the Royal Society, England's national science academy, suggests that China will overtake the United States in scientific output as early as 2013, as opposed to 2020, as previously predicted. These new figures are based on international journals produced by the Scopus service of the Elsevier publishing company. The following example shows this growth: In 1996, the first year of the analysis, the United States published 292,513 scientific papers, more than 10 times China's 25,474. The U.S. total had increased very slightly to 316,317 papers by 2008 while China's had boomed to 184,080 - more than a seven-fold increase from 1996. This study suggests that after dislocating the United Kingdom as the world's second leading producer of scientific research, China may overtake America in less than two years.

-compiled by Surabhi Bhatt

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